In recent weeks I have had conversations with some people who acknowledge that their investment strategy is too conservative given their age and investment time horizon. One of the main reasons these people cite for their overly conservative portfolios is a fear of losing their hard earned cash. Consequently, these individuals invest their savings in CDs or bond funds, and shy away from the stock market.
Let me begin by saying that I understand and accept risk aversion as a primary driver of investment strategy. In fact, no one should make any investment decision if that investment strategy will lead to them not being able to sleep at night. However, in the long run, what might seem like the "safe bet" will almost inevitably turn into a money losing proposition, given the stock market's propensity to outperform safer investments such as CDs or bonds.
If you share this very low tolerance for risk, but still feel that you are making a long term strategic error in staying out of the stock market, I propose the following strategy for dealing with the problem:
4. Check Your Investments Once a Quarter - if you are very risk averse, the worst thing you can do to your peace of mind is to track your investment performance on a daily basis. Remember, you are investing for the long term. Who cares what the stock market did today? Who cares if your mutual fund dropped 5% this week? All you should care about is how your portfolio will perform in the long run. Think years, not months. With that in mind, do yourself a favor: turn off CNBC, don't check the stock quotes and don't work yourself into hysteria. Check your investments once a quarter, and do so only to make sure that your mutual funds are performing well enough compared to their benchmarks.
5. Make a Plan to Limit Your Risk - if you are very sensitive to risk but still want to participate in the stock market, set your risk limits in advance. For example, decide that if your mutual fund loses more than 10% of your original investment you will sell it. That way you know that your risk is probably limited to losing about 10% of your money. That would sting, but it wouldn't be the end of the world. If you are investing for the long haul, that is probably not the wisest of strategies - I would just hold onto my diversified investments even in a down market - but if this type of risk limiting strategy helps you be more comfortable with the stock market, go for it.
Let me end this post by admitting to having a personal history as a fearful investor. I am now cured, pretty much due to the strategies I outlined above. After having endured the worst that the stock market had to offer during the darkest days of the Dotcom Bubble, I know I can pretty much handle any bear market without falling to pieces. However, I won't pretend that that was a fun ride...
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